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<strong>編者按</strong>：芯片代工行業(yè)是一個(gè)資本主導(dǎo)的行業(yè)，但絕非是靠廉價(jià)勞動(dòng)力而不需要技術(shù)的行業(yè)，芯片制造的技術(shù)和芯片設(shè)計(jì)相比，并不能簡(jiǎn)單的說(shuō)哪一種更高端或低端，掌握業(yè)界領(lǐng)先的芯片制造工藝無(wú)疑是符合“核心技術(shù)”的定義的。</div> <br/> <div id="dukh9tq" class="ad_300x180_Afinal13_back">  <iframe id='a225770a' name='a225770a' src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/afr.php?zoneid=87&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' width='300' height='200'><a target='_blank'><img src='https://ad.eepw.com.cn/www/delivery/avw.php?zoneid=87&cb=INSERT_RANDOM_NUMBER_HERE&n=a576c0a2' border='0' alt='' /></a></iframe> </div> <span id="contentlabels" style="font-size:14px;"><p>　　根據(jù)IC Insights 之前公布的2016 純晶圓代工廠(chǎng)商營(yíng)收?qǐng)?bào)告，即便Gartner、世界半導(dǎo)體貿(mào)易統(tǒng)計(jì)組織(WSTS)等機(jī)構(gòu)紛紛調(diào)降2016 年半導(dǎo)體產(chǎn)值預(yù)估，從成長(zhǎng)轉(zhuǎn)為個(gè)位數(shù)衰退，IC insights仍看好今年純晶圓代工廠(chǎng)商銷(xiāo)售能成長(zhǎng)9%，高于去年的6%，也優(yōu)于機(jī)構(gòu)今年估計(jì)整體IC 市場(chǎng)衰退2% 的表現(xiàn)。</p>本文引用地址：<a href="http://cafeforensic.com/article/201702/343650.htm">http://cafeforensic.com/article/201702/343650.htm</a><center><img alt="臺(tái)積電的成功是否是因?yàn)檎莆樟撕诵目萍迹? width="390" height="213" src="http://editerupload.eepw.com.cn/201702/df82f014cde77297b1618943c51a4336.jpg" /></center><p><br /></p><p>　　前十大廠(chǎng)商就占據(jù)了整個(gè)純晶圓代工市場(chǎng)95% 的營(yíng)收，IC Insights 更估計(jì)今年<a class="contentlabel" href="http://cafeforensic.com/news/listbylabel/label/臺(tái)積電"><em>臺(tái)積電</em></a>、格羅方德、聯(lián)電、中芯國(guó)際等四大廠(chǎng)商就將囊括純晶圓代工市場(chǎng)84% 獲利，其中58% 預(yù)估更是由<a class="contentlabel" href="http://cafeforensic.com/news/listbylabel/label/臺(tái)積電"><em>臺(tái)積電</em></a>所包下，占比雖較2015 年稍減1%，但營(yíng)收有望從2015 年的15 億美元，2016 年再成長(zhǎng)到21 億美元。</p><p>　　<a class="contentlabel" href="http://cafeforensic.com/news/listbylabel/label/臺(tái)積電"><em>臺(tái)積電</em></a>擁有那么高的市占率，是否代表掌握了核心科技呢?</p><p>　　王樂(lè)，微電子工程師，專(zhuān)長(zhǎng)領(lǐng)域芯片微影光刻技術(shù)</p><p>　　好吧，TSMC的資深工程師來(lái)回答一下這個(gè)問(wèn)題。要看臺(tái)積的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力要從很多方面來(lái)著手。</p><p>　　當(dāng)然這里隱去一切客戶(hù)信息，PIP管制技術(shù)問(wèn)題。</p><p><strong>　　1.臺(tái)積的經(jīng)營(yíng)理念，ICIC，這才是根本，這里面大體包含嚴(yán)守承諾，客戶(hù)利益共贏(yíng)，創(chuàng)新等等。</strong></p><p>　　究其根本，是不與design house做根本性的發(fā)展方向的沖突，以及一旦承諾使命必達(dá)的跟客戶(hù)的承諾感與信賴(lài)感。以及一種包容的理念。</p><p>　　舉個(gè)例子，三星和intel都是有自己知識(shí)產(chǎn)權(quán)完整產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈的，比如他們都design 行動(dòng)裝置CPU，<a class="contentlabel" href="http://cafeforensic.com/news/listbylabel/label/高通"><em>高通</em></a>會(huì)完全給他們每一層的layout，densign rule嗎??與虎畫(huà)皮，危險(xiǎn)重重啊。</p><p>　　而臺(tái)積與客戶(hù)的信賴(lài)關(guān)系是極為長(zhǎng)久的時(shí)間建立起來(lái)的。我們的銷(xiāo)售人員不會(huì)為了一點(diǎn)點(diǎn)小利動(dòng)搖公司的底線(xiàn)，因?yàn)榇鷥r(jià)可能是全行業(yè)封殺，張仲謀對(duì)于企業(yè)文化的建立花了很多功夫。另外大量招收應(yīng)屆畢業(yè)生長(zhǎng)期培養(yǎng)，營(yíng)造一個(gè)與外界誘惑相對(duì)隔絕，而充滿(mǎn)認(rèn)同感，和單純關(guān)系的內(nèi)部關(guān)系，也是減少內(nèi)耗的關(guān)鍵。</p><p><strong>　　2.臺(tái)積的人才與企業(yè)執(zhí)行力</strong></p><p>　　臺(tái)積的人才，其實(shí)是很尷尬的，畢業(yè)以后就進(jìn)入企業(yè)內(nèi)部進(jìn)行最專(zhuān)業(yè)先進(jìn)的培訓(xùn)。在行業(yè)內(nèi)不夸張的講，臺(tái)積5年的人才，可能比別的foundry10年的工程師底子還要好。同時(shí)由于一畢業(yè)就進(jìn)入，內(nèi)部氛圍比較和諧簡(jiǎn)單，上面的長(zhǎng)官到下面的人員執(zhí)行力和理念高度的一致。這會(huì)讓case放生時(shí)反應(yīng)時(shí)間和彌補(bǔ)措施出奇的一致。</p><p>　　但同時(shí)，由于專(zhuān)業(yè)性很強(qiáng)，公司內(nèi)的人才，時(shí)間長(zhǎng)了改行很難，出去的我知道的很多同事，后來(lái)又后悔，因?yàn)榘l(fā)現(xiàn)外面的企業(yè)執(zhí)行力差很多，容易缺乏認(rèn)同感。在外面也許人事關(guān)系才是最大投入比的東西，可臺(tái)積相對(duì)弱很多。臺(tái)積內(nèi)部的人更像是師長(zhǎng)，同學(xué)關(guān)系?？艘膊环ο裎疫@種，由于其他關(guān)系接觸外面，渴望外面又短時(shí)間不舍得出去的復(fù)雜人群。哈哈。當(dāng)然不出去跟他相對(duì)有競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的薪資也有關(guān)系。</p><p>　　扯遠(yuǎn)了</p><p><strong>　　3.臺(tái)積的結(jié)果導(dǎo)向和共同開(kāi)發(fā)平臺(tái)。</strong></p><p>　　臺(tái)積可能有錢(qián)，但是跟三棒，global，intel比還是有差距，但他有在跟客戶(hù)建立信賴(lài)關(guān)系后的，開(kāi)放式開(kāi)發(fā)平臺(tái)，由于之前的良好合作，和互惠關(guān)系，當(dāng)臺(tái)積新技術(shù)研發(fā)過(guò)程中，客戶(hù)愿意提供支持與資源。舉例子，可能三棒開(kāi)發(fā)一個(gè)制程技術(shù)，從開(kāi)始設(shè)計(jì)，跑片，mask，設(shè)備，開(kāi)發(fā)工具全部都是自己搞，臺(tái)積可能只需要在原有技術(shù)升級(jí)，接入客戶(hù)技術(shù)，客戶(hù)出錢(qián)做mask，版圖，tsmc免費(fèi)跑片。節(jié)省的成本算算吧。</p><p><strong>　　4.強(qiáng)烈的危機(jī)感與對(duì)發(fā)生問(wèn)題強(qiáng)烈的責(zé)任感和prevention機(jī)制。</strong></p><p>　　前幾日，一個(gè)同事從最先進(jìn)部門(mén)回來(lái)，聊到三棒等公司在先進(jìn)制程上追趕的壓力說(shuō)，其實(shí)緊張的不是那些競(jìng)爭(zhēng)者而是跑在前面的自己。不知道后面的人多遠(yuǎn)，只有自己拼命跑的更快。如果客戶(hù)看看tsmc 14nm develop team的工作狀態(tài)，可能就知道，競(jìng)爭(zhēng)者還是太嫩了。</p><p>　　說(shuō)到責(zé)任感和prevention，一樣是危機(jī)感的延申，在臺(tái)積雖然良率高出行業(yè)10-20%，但是我們也會(huì)有報(bào)廢，發(fā)生問(wèn)題客戶(hù)還沒(méi)知道我們可能已經(jīng)做了連夜的評(píng)估和努力。而努力不是找借口寫(xiě)報(bào)告，而是深刻的檢討和對(duì)未來(lái)的防堵措施的制定。多年下來(lái)，基本上除了新人的小量MO，只要嚴(yán)格按照規(guī)程，符合嚴(yán)謹(jǐn)?shù)倪壿嫹治雎肪€(xiàn)，是很少有認(rèn)為的成熟制程報(bào)廢的。這也是大多數(shù)初創(chuàng)新興企業(yè)寧可花更高的價(jià)錢(qián)也要在TSMC流片的原因，因?yàn)楦匾氖莙uality和時(shí)間。</p><p><strong>　　周生，留白</strong></p><p>　　雖然已經(jīng)不在本行，但是仍然在常常關(guān)注半導(dǎo)體的相關(guān)話(huà)題，閑逛知乎常常看到一些答案仍然對(duì)于臺(tái)灣的芯片行業(yè)有些誤讀，補(bǔ)充一點(diǎn)個(gè)人見(jiàn)解，也許略有些文不對(duì)題：</p><p>　　此“代工”和彼“代工”，此“制造”和彼“制造”，與服裝電子整機(jī)產(chǎn)品之類(lèi)勞動(dòng)密集型行業(yè)根本就不是一回事，不能拿來(lái)簡(jiǎn)單類(lèi)比。</p><p>　　芯片代工行業(yè)是一個(gè)資本主導(dǎo)的行業(yè)，但絕非是靠廉價(jià)勞動(dòng)力而不需要技術(shù)的行業(yè)，芯片制造的技術(shù)和芯片設(shè)計(jì)相比，并不能簡(jiǎn)單的說(shuō)哪一種更高端或低端，掌握業(yè)界領(lǐng)先的芯片制造工藝無(wú)疑是符合“核心技術(shù)”的定義的。</p><p>　　1.對(duì)于一只手機(jī)而言，電子代工廠(chǎng)的工藝和制造水平，大多只能反應(yīng)在外觀(guān)手感和質(zhì)量穩(wěn)定性，性能和功能如何更多還是要看設(shè)計(jì);但對(duì)一顆芯片而言，設(shè)計(jì)固然重要，但制造工藝對(duì)性能表現(xiàn)和成本仍然有決定性作用;</p><p>　　2.現(xiàn)代芯片的設(shè)計(jì)，都是基于制造廠(chǎng)的工藝庫(kù)來(lái)進(jìn)行的，不同的工藝對(duì)應(yīng)了不同的器件參數(shù)和布局限制等等，沒(méi)有工藝的參數(shù)，根本就無(wú)從著手，對(duì)于很多小型公司，很多功能模塊甚至都直接從代工廠(chǎng)的設(shè)計(jì)支持部門(mén)直接買(mǎi)現(xiàn)成的;</p><p>　　3.對(duì)占芯片產(chǎn)業(yè)大部分的邏輯芯片而言，一套工藝兼容不同的設(shè)計(jì)，而同樣的設(shè)計(jì)幾乎是很難在短時(shí)間內(nèi)遷移到不同的工藝線(xiàn)上的，基本上選擇了一家代工廠(chǎng)，這代產(chǎn)品的大部分生命周期都綁定在這家公司了，反倒是代工廠(chǎng)可以更靈活的在各個(gè)客戶(hù)之間調(diào)配產(chǎn)能設(shè)置;</p><p>　　掙錢(qián)不掙錢(qián)這個(gè)誤讀似乎更嚴(yán)重，選了幾家電子行業(yè)的代表公司來(lái)看看2013年的利潤(rùn)和利潤(rùn)率(單位億美元，根據(jù)網(wǎng)絡(luò)披露信息計(jì)算)：</p><p>　　(ps：<a class="contentlabel" href="http://cafeforensic.com/news/listbylabel/label/高通"><em>高通</em></a>的利潤(rùn)和利潤(rùn)率計(jì)算包含了技術(shù)授權(quán)集團(tuán)，半導(dǎo)體部門(mén)凈利預(yù)估占7成，約47.95億美元)</p><p>　　芯片代工行業(yè)的營(yíng)收隨景氣的波動(dòng)會(huì)比<a class="contentlabel" href="http://cafeforensic.com/news/listbylabel/label/高通"><em>高通</em></a>和英特爾來(lái)得大，但臺(tái)積電的凈利率卻一直是在30%+的水準(zhǔn);</p><p>　　國(guó)內(nèi)“核心技術(shù)”代表，華為利潤(rùn)率最高到過(guò)12%左右，但這兩年通信行業(yè)利潤(rùn)率下降了一些;</p><p>　　至于電子產(chǎn)品代工廠(chǎng)的代表鴻海精密雖然利潤(rùn)率很低，但也算小有盈余，不過(guò)大陸的子公司富士康一直在虧錢(qián)。</p><p>　　聯(lián)想今年已經(jīng)是近來(lái)最好的年份了。</p><p>　　微軟和蘋(píng)果真巨頭，不提。</p><p>　　臺(tái)積電也許是大中華區(qū)最賺錢(qián)的電子通信類(lèi)企業(yè)(除開(kāi)中國(guó)移動(dòng)以外)，而且有著極高的利潤(rùn)率。</p><p>　　員工人均創(chuàng)造營(yíng)收和利潤(rùn)，臺(tái)積電英特爾大致相當(dāng)，甩開(kāi)兩家大陸企業(yè)一大截，略低于高通。</p><p>　　話(huà)語(yǔ)權(quán)方面，在2013年半導(dǎo)體行業(yè)銷(xiāo)售收入排名中，臺(tái)積電排名第三，略高過(guò)高通的半導(dǎo)體業(yè)務(wù)，另外幾乎所有全球排名前列的Fabless公司(高通博通聯(lián)發(fā)科。..)的主要代工伙伴都是臺(tái)積電。在設(shè)計(jì)公司需要依靠先進(jìn)工藝搶占市場(chǎng)的時(shí)候(比如臺(tái)積電28nm量產(chǎn)初期)，只怕是高通和聯(lián)發(fā)科看臺(tái)積電臉色更多些。</p><p>　　技術(shù)方面當(dāng)然是Intel傲視全球，三星和臺(tái)積電目前還算是各有優(yōu)勢(shì)，是不相伯仲，至于資本投入方面考慮到三星半導(dǎo)體一年銷(xiāo)售額也是臺(tái)積電兩倍左右(存儲(chǔ)芯片為主)，邏輯芯片部分的投入相信差距也不大。張忠謀講臺(tái)積電品質(zhì)是Intel兩倍成本只有一半，就算有公關(guān)的夸大成分，但業(yè)內(nèi)常傳聞臺(tái)積電的主流工藝良率顯著超過(guò)Intel/三星應(yīng)該是靠譜的說(shuō)法。</p></span> 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